
Annualized Volatility FIGURE
32.6 Optimal Efficient Frontiers
investor could alter
asset allocation or location to obtain the most favorable impact on expected
long-term results.
Asset allocation. The model relates
risk to expected real long-term after-tax results. This is done to capture the
powerful impact of estate taxes. It has the added benefit of focusing on what
is most relevant to the investor. The classic efficient frontier relates risk
to return. Return, however, is an intermediary variable. The investor is
interested in wealth and will likely make asset allocation decisions on the
basis of the expected wealth and the volatility of the expected wealth.
Estate planning. We took the existing
estate plan as fixed in our two examples. However, this modeling process can be
used to evaluate changes to estate plans as well. For example, if Mr. Jones was
considering buying a life insurance policy as a mechanism for reducing estate
taxes, he could first observe his efficient frontier based on the existing
estate plan. Then he would alter the model to include the life insurance
policy and calculate a new efficient frontier. This efficient frontier would
reflect the optimal use of that policy within the context of his other estate
entities. A comparison of the efficient frontiers would allow for evaluation of
the likely benefit of the life insurance policy on his long-term wealth
transfer to his beneficiaries.
Concentrated
stock positions. Some investors have a significant portion of their wealth in a single
stock with very low cost basis. This is often the result of the sale of a
business or stock-based compensation. These investors face the issue of
achieving diversification and risk reduction for the least amount of tax. If
Mr. Smith's personal assets included a large position in low-cost-basis shares